Aston Villa – Liverpool
Liverpool -1.5 ah
Odds: 2.03 BET365
Aston Villa are visitors this Saturday against the previous Champions League winners Liverpool. This match will obviously be a tough task for newly promoted Aston Villa. As expected, Aston Villa is on the bottom half of the table so far and is currently 15th with 11 points after ten matches while Liverpool is 1st with the same amount of matches and 28 points. This means Liverpool has won 9/10 matches only dropped points against their rivals Manchester United.
Aston Villa has already met top teams like Manchester City, Tottenham and Arsenal this season and lost against all of them. Manchester City beat them 3-0, Arsenal beat them 3-2 and Tottenham beat them 3-1. This shows that Aston Villa concedes a lot of goals against better teams and I can almost assure you that if they also concede 3 against Liverpool this bet will win. Even with Matip out and potentially a rest for Fabinho (since they do not want to risk him getting suspended before they meet Manchester City next week) we highly doubt that Liverpool will concede more than maximum one goal here.
The probability for many goals from Liverpool is good this match. They have scored on average 2.3 goals per match in the Premier League despite they have already met some of the most defensive teams in the league. Liverpool`s usual starting XI rested in the mid-week match against Arsenal, which means we will see a 100% fit team this match. Aston Villa could not rest all of their players in their mid-week match and therefore, we expect Liverpool to be better shaped than Aston Villa for this match. A fully fit Mohamed Salah, Sadio Mane and Roberto Firmino always results in goals. We believe all of them will have a good day and that they will help their team keep their 6 point gap to Manchester City until they meet them next weekend.
We do not only expect a lot of goals from Liverpool but we also expect them to be solid defensively, dominate possession and keep the ball mostly on Aston Villa`s side. With only Matip out of the usual starters, we expect Lovren to fill in and do a good job as a central defender along with Van Dijk. We also expect that Fabinho will start despite he will get suspended for the important match against Manchester City with a yellow card here. However, every single Premier League match is important for Liverpool who has never won the Premier League before. This season they are favourites and will do their absolute best every single match. The Premier League trophy is the trophy they are missing. Therefore, they will most likely start with Fabinho here.
Last time Liverpool lost a Premier League match was in January. Since then they have had a few draws but it seems like they are just getting better and better and right now they look unbeatable. Therefore, we expect a comfortable win here against Aston Villa who finished 5th in Championship last season. We have great confidence in Liverpool and we are not only confident that they will win but we are confident they will win with at least two or three goals.