Value Bet: Sparta Prague – Karvina

Sparta Prague – Karvina (Karvina +2 ah)
Odds: 1.70 on Bet365

Sparta Prague is considered by bookmakers as a big favorite here. However, we do not agree that they are a big favorite.

Karvina is a solid organized team. They do not have the greatest players or the strongest squad but they are definitely a hard team to break down. Conceding only 10 goals in 11 matches shows that they are not a team to lose with several goals. They score on average 1 goal per match as well and we believe they can score away against Sparta Prague considering Sparta Prague have conceded 18 goals these first 11 matches. Karvina has taken 11 points so far this season, 9 of those points are taken in the last 5 matches which indicates that they are a team in form and with great confidence.

The most winning team ever in the Czech Republic, Sparta Prague, has only taken 3 more points than Karvina so far. To us, that is an indicator that it will be a tight match where both teams got the opportunity to win points. Sparta Prague has been really unlucky with injuries this season, and their usually great team is weakened a lot as they have been for many weeks already, which is also explaining why they barely take more than a point on average per match.

Scoring 18 and conceding 18 in the league so far we cannot see Sparta Prague win big here. We believe we have an edge here with Karvina +2. If Sparta Prague gets a strong win with a two-goal margin we will still get the push and the odds of 1.70 for this is great in our opinion. The scenario we are seeing here is a tricky and tight game where both teams got the opportunity to end up with all the points or end with a draw. A statistic highly worth to mention is that Karvina has not lost with more than a goal yet in the league this season. A 2-0 loss in the cup is their biggest loss so far.

 

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