Sporting KC – Seattle Sounders

Starting later today is a match between two teams on opposite ends of the table as the Seattle Sounders are on the road to play Sporting KC. Looking at the table below, you can see Seattle sitting as the second best in the table and Sporting KC as second worst in the table:

MLS table

In terms of recent form here are how both teams have done in their last five games, as well as their home/away splits:

Sporting KC last 5: 0 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses
Sporting KC at home: 2 wins, 3 draws, 1 losses

Seattle last 5: 2 wins, 3 draws, 0 losses 
Seattle as visitors: 1 win, 3 draws, 1 loss 

Looking at these trends, Kansas City has been in horrific form lately, in fact, their last win came back on March 30th when they defeated Impact Montreal 7-1. Since then the injuries have piled up for them and they have even needed to resort to acquiring players from the USL to fill roster spots.

Sporting Kansas City

  • OUT: F – Erik Hurtado (right knee surgery 3/19, out 2-3 months)
  • OUT: D – Jaylin Lindsey (torn meniscus 3/30, out 4-5 months)
  • OUT: D – Rodney Wallace (hip surgery 4/23, out 4-6 months)
  • OUT: M – Roger Espinoza (knee injury 4/23, out 2-3 months)
  • OUT: F – Gerso Fernandes (broken wrist 4/27)
  • OUT: D – Andreu Fontas (calf injury)
  • OUT: M – Wan Kuzain (ankle injury)
  • QUESTIONABLE: D – Graham Zusi (oblique injury)
  • QUESTIONABLE: M – Jimmy Medranda (knee injury)
  • QUESTIONABLE: F – Daniel Salloi (groin injury)

Suspensions: Krisztian Nemeth (red card)

Seattle

  • OUT: M – Victor Rodriguez (left hamstring strain)
  • OUT: F – Jordan Morris (right hamstring strain)

Kansas City missing their top striker, Krisztian Nemeth is potentially a big loss. Also, with so many injuries with KC’s frontline players, they may need to preserve themselves more than usual with this being the first match of three matches they have to play this week. They are a team that typically tries to press high, placing more reasonability on some of the replacements in their lineup. For KC, players will need to step up in a big way for them to win this match.

For Seattle, although they have not looked great as visitors, it’s worth noting that their only loss on the road came to an LAFC squad who is by far the best team in MLS. In their rematch, they held off this same LAFC team scoreless after getting a red card in the 18th minute and had to play the rest of the game with 10 players. Overall, Seattle has looked very impressive this season and is not an easy team to beat. Considering Seattle’s form, the injuries for Kansas City, the suspension of Nemeth, and Kansas City’s performances in the last two months, we are betting against them in this spot.

Seattle Double Chance (Win or Draw) @ 1.90 

While Seattle may not be trusted enough as visitors to take this outright, I believe this bet has way too much value to overlook. I see this bet having closer to a 60% chance to win and much better than the odds currently imply.

 

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